Friday, 28 January 2011

Egypt: will today be the start of revolution?

'There is a general expectation that today will be decisive, one way or the other. If the protesters win the day, it will set the course for a new Middle East: Egypt is not Tunisia – it is the most populous Arab country and a real heavyweight. The outcome will have even greater influence than it did in Tunisia.

My hunch, though, is that today will signal the start – in earnest – of the Egyptian revolution rather than its culmination. In Tunisia it took a month; Egypt is a much bigger fish and this has only been going for three days. The regime won't give up easily and will try to fight on, even if mortally wounded.

But evaluating all the signs as honestly as I can, think Mohamed ElBaradei was right when he said yesterday that the situation has passed a point of no return. For all practical purposes, the Mubarak – father and son – era is finished and the only question left is whether or not its death throes will drag on until the presidential election scheduled for October.'

This comes from Brian Whitaker: 'Information lockdown in Egypt'

Also see:
Juan Cole: 'Egyptian Demonstrators Rev up for Big Friday as Regime Cracks Down'
Robert Fisk: 'Egypt's day of reckoning'


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